CORRECTED-FOREX-Dollar firm ahead of US inflation data; yen hovers near one-year low

CORRECTED-FOREX-Dollar firm ahead of US inflation data; yen hovers near one-year low
CORRECTED-FOREX-Dollar firm ahead of US inflation data; yen hovers near one-year low

(Correct dollar/yen level in analyst comment in paragraph 11)

By Brigid Riley

TOKYO, Nov 13 (Reuters) – The dollar was steady on Monday as traders awaited another batch of inflation data from the United States that is expected to offer further clues this week on whether the Federal Reserve has more work to do to tame price pressures.

The Japanese yen remained vulnerable, hovering not far from a one-year low against the greenback as markets remained on watch for possible intervention by Tokyo.

The focus for most traders will be firmly on US consumer price index (CPI) numbers due on Tuesday after the Fed’s policy meeting this month tempered its hawkish stance although Fed Chair Jerome Powell last week hinted that the battle against inflation may not be over yet.

Retail sales the following day will also provide more information on the state of demand in the US economy, which has shown signs of resilience in the face of high borrowing costs.

“We expect the USD to remain on a strong footing,” Lenny Jin, Global FX Strategist at HSBC, wrote in a note, citing the US economy’s continued growth outperformance as one crucial factor.

HSBC expects October US core CPI to remain unchanged compared to last month, “while further disinflation signals may only come in February 2024,” said Jin.

Elsewhere, market reaction was muted to news announced shortly before foreign exchange trading closed in New York on Friday that Moody’s lowered its outlook for the US credit rating to “negative”.

The dollar index, which measures the dollar against a basket of currencies, was last mostly flat at 105.80.

There was little relief for the yen, however, which has come under pressure from rising US Treasury yields and continued dollar strength.

The Japanese currency was trading around 151.58 yen against the dollar on Monday, just under a one-year low of 151.74 hit at the end of October.

A hot number from one of the US economic data releases this week “would certainly do the trick” in pushing dollar/yen to 152, said Tony Sycamore, a market analyst at IG. “Alternatively, a continuation of the more supportive risk backdrop would likely entice carry buyers to add to positions and test the measure of the (Bank of Japan).”

Elsewhere, sterling stood at $1.2228 to the dollar, firm ahead of UK average weekly earnings data on Tuesday and a CPI reading on Wednesday.

(Reporting by Brigid Riley Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

The article is in Dutch

Tags: CORRECTEDFOREXDollar firm ahead inflation data yen hovers oneyear


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